庚欣：高市早苗“突袭”选举，难改日本既有“两弱”困境

\u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003csection\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_0--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(61, 170, 214); font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e直新闻：\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e高市早苗上台以来，一直声称不会解散国会改选，但最近突然提出要进行选举。您觉得她为什么要这样做？\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(122, 68, 66); font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e特约评论员庚欣：\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e是的，\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_0--\u003e再有两天（1月23日），日本众议院就将解散并在2月8日进行选举\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e。从解散到投票仅隔16天，创下二战结束以来最短纪录，简直是一次“突袭”式选举。高市声称这次解散改选的理由，是联合执政框架和“关系到日本国家根本利益的重要政策”发生了变化等。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e我认为高市这次的“突袭”选举，有三个主要考虑：\u003c!--AIPOS_1--\u003e第一就是高市上台后，一直处于一个“朝小野大”、“人强党弱”的被动局面。而她想在政治外交或内政等方面推出一些比\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e较大的、甚至具有颠覆性的政策举措时，仅有较高的民意支持是不够的，必须争取国会的稳定多数。高市是接替\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_0--\u003e石破茂\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_0--\u003e任期上台的，所以无论从延长任期，还是从巩固执政的考虑，她都需要取得新的民意授权。同时，自民党内一些上一次落选的议员们，也希望搭现在内阁支持率较高的便车，争取再次入选国会。恰好在这时又出现了这样一个被拉长了的新内阁选后的蜜月期，于是，高市就希望借此机会冒险赌一把，争取实现自民党在国会翻身。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_2--\u003e第二，高市上台后，就中日关系特别是台湾问题，作为“日本现职领导人讲了不该讲的话，越了不应碰的红线”，招致日本政界和民间包括海外各界批评声不断。但是在她引发了这个事端之后，反而调动了日本社会的\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e民粹情绪\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e，推高了她的支持率。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e虽然战后日本人民通过自己的努力奋斗，在和平环境\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e中取得了很大的发展，但是日本不仅政治上抬不起头，难以重回政治大国的行列，而且一直受到美国的政治、军事控制，不能成为它想要的所谓“正常国家”，这和日本战后改造不彻底紧密相关，尤其是美国在担负对日改造时，只顾让日本服从美国利益、跟随美国，而不是让日本真正成为一个反省战争、维护和平、重新做人的新日本。但是日本又不能也无力和美国翻脸，这种埋藏心底的悲情和无奈，有时会病态地表现出来。这些悲情还经常会被一些别有用心的政客利用，然后把它引导到其他方向，比如说利用中国、朝鲜、韩国等提出正确对待历史的正当要求时，少数政客就炒作好像是东亚各国在“打压”日本，把各种对美国的悲情集聚起来，营造极为负面的对立情绪。\u003c!--AI_AD_1000--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_3--\u003e第三，这次选举还有更深层的原因，即高市急于“突袭”选举，也表示了高市以及整个日本政界对特朗普代表美国的最近一些言行，有着深深的忧虑和焦躁感。特朗普近期明确提到了高市早苗\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e说错话\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e的台湾问题，指出这“要由中国领导人决定”。而且，特朗普反而表达了对“东半球”事务可能放手不管的态\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e度，同时，特朗普正在紧锣密鼓准备在4月访问中国，外界都在评估和炒作，他很可能在涉及台湾问题等重大问题上和中方达成新的共识。所以高市要赶在特朗普访华前去美国直接面见特朗普，并且她希望在此之前，利用现在的支持率冒险一搏，争取提高对自民党的支持率，由此来构建一个相对比现在平稳、可能长期执政的政府形象，来加大面见特朗普时的谈判筹码，争取能或多或少影响特朗普的态度。我认为这是高市现在急于“突袭”选举的最深层动因。\u003c!--AI_AD_2000--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e因此，高市甚至于对一直鼓动她早点儿改选的麻生太郎以及主管选举事务的铃干事长等人，都来不及直接说明，就突然出手，这不仅是对在野党、也是对自民党和日本社会的一个“突袭”。由此形成的对她本人、对自民党以及整个日本政治的稳定，都是有相当风险的，这是一场很危险的赌博。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_1--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(61, 170, 214); font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e直新闻：\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e现在大家对这次日本众议院的选举结果，众说纷纭，您估计会选出一个怎样的结果？\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(122, 68, 66); font-weight: bold\" textstyle=\"\"\u003e特约评论员庚欣：\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_4--\u003e我认为高市早苗这次把选举作为一个赌博，当然是有多种可能性。她已经把自己\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e的政治前途\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e赌在里边，但是她定了一个比较低的门坎，就是只要自民党加上维新会能够达到半数，她就及格了，我估计达到这个目标应该不困难，虽然自民党支\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e持率不高，维新会在选举中也未必有很大的增幅空间，但是考虑到在野党现在确实整合还有一定困难，我估计这次选举，自民党在众议院会比现在的席次有所增加，但是增长空间也不会很大。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e而自民党支持率之所以比较低，就是由于日本社会和民意对自民党以麻生、安倍为代表的政治贪腐和派阀政治的保守和霸道不满，特别是最近韩国也公布了一些“统一教会”的丑闻，其中32处提到高市早苗的名字，尤其把她作为安倍一直积极扶持的一个政治人物，表明“统一教会”与高市有牵连。这与整个日本社会民意对自民党的批评否定直接相关，如果高市真的大获全胜而可以为所欲为的话，那么，日本民众所厌恶的那种黑金政治就会越演越烈，这是对日本民众的一次考验。\u003c!--AI_AD_1001--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_5--\u003e另外，我必须指出，这次选举只是日本国内的政治博弈，她无论怎么样选，结果如何，都改变不了日本目前“两弱”的既定现实困境，这是日本的客观存在。第一是上述自民党的弱势。第二更重要的是日本国家的弱势。即日本特殊的岛国自然禀赋和国情以及战后特殊的国际政治制度安排的格局等，以及由此形成的日本对外依赖性格局带来的弱势。近来日本在大国关系中的综合国力也略显弱化，在中美的强势之下，韩国、印度等也展现出较快的发展态势，而日本在国际大格局中的分量似乎在逐渐减弱。如果说，这次选举可能使自民党弱势有所改善，但日本国家的弱势，很难一下子有明显的改变。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003c!--AIPOS_6--\u003e其实，高市上台后的一系列举动，都表明她在重大政治问题上缺乏与时俱进的务实态度，时常表现出一种“刻舟求剑”的守旧思维。例如，她对现在日本在百年变局中的弱势明显缺乏认知，对近些年来围绕日本的形势变化缺乏客观准确的及时把握，对于日美关系特别是美方如特朗普每天都不一样的变化缺乏准确、深刻的理解，种种形势早已今非昔比，既不是30年前的情况，更不是八九十年前的那种情况了，还在做那些过时的旧梦，即使在一个局部战术问题上偶然得手，也难免在整体战略上碰钉子。高市不应重蹈过去日本害人害己的覆辙。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan data-pm-slice=\"1 1 [\u0026#34;para\u0026#34;,{\u0026#34;tagName\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;p\u0026#34;,\u0026#34;attributes\u0026#34;:{},\u0026#34;namespaceURI\u0026#34;:\u0026#34;http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\u0026#34;}]\" leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); display: inline !important; float: none; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 1px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); cursor: text; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.75em; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e作者丨庚欣\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection data-pm-slice=\"2 2 []\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); cursor: text; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.75em; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e排版丨李烁\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e\u003cbr/\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection data-pm-slice=\"0 0 []\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); cursor: text; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.75em; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e编辑丨侯军义\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); cursor: text; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.75em; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e审校丨吴蔚\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); cursor: text; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.75em; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan leaf=\"\" style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); cursor: text; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; margin: 0px; max-inline-size: 100%; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; widows: 1\"\u003e监制丨林潇\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cstyle\u003e.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .2)}.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .126)}.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #373737}.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-BLUE-100: #10aeff;--weui-BLUE-120: #0c8bcc;--weui-BLUE-170: #04344d;--weui-BLUE-80: #3fbeff;--weui-BLUE-90: #28b6ff;--weui-BLUE-BG-100: #48a6e2;--weui-BLUE-BG-110: #4095cb;--weui-BLUE-BG-130: 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#D7A400;--weui-FG-HALF: #000000;--weui-RED: #DC3636;--weui-ORANGERED: #D14730;--weui-ORANGE: #E17719;--weui-YELLOW: #BB8E00;--weui-GREEN: #4F8400;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #2E8800;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06AE56;--weui-BRAND: #018942;--weui-BLUE: #007DBB;--weui-INDIGO: #0075E2;--weui-PURPLE: #6265F1;--weui-LINK: #576B95;--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #E17719;--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06AE56;--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #007DBB;--weui-REDORANGE: #D14730;--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-WHITE: #FFFFFF;--weui-BG: #FFFFFF;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(225, 119, 25, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(0, 125, 187, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-mode=care][data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) 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.35);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .85);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .55);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-3: #FFFFFF;--weui-GREEN-100: #74A800;--weui-GREEN-120: #5C8600;--weui-GREEN-170: #233200;--weui-GREEN-80: #8FB933;--weui-GREEN-90: #82B01A;--weui-GREEN-BG-100: #789833;--weui-GREEN-BG-110: #6B882D;--weui-GREEN-BG-130: #65802B;--weui-GREEN-BG-90: #85A247;--weui-INDIGO-100: #1196FF;--weui-INDIGO-120: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-170: #052D4D;--weui-INDIGO-80: #40ABFF;--weui-INDIGO-90: #28A0FF;--weui-INDIGO-BG-100: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-BG-110: #0B6BB7;--weui-INDIGO-BG-130: #09548F;--weui-INDIGO-BG-90: #2585D1;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-100: #3EB575;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-120: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-170: #123522;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-80: #64C390;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-90: #51BC83;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-100: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-110: #2C8153;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-130: #226541;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-90: #31905D;--weui-LINK-100: #7D90A9;--weui-LINK-120: #647387;--weui-LINK-170: #252A32;--weui-LINK-80: #97A6BA;--weui-LINK-90: #899AB1;--weui-LINKFINDER-100: #DEE9FF;--weui-MATERIAL-ATTACHMENTCOLUMN: rgba(32, 32, 32, .93);--weui-MATERIAL-NAVIGATIONBAR: rgba(18, 18, 18, .9);--weui-MATERIAL-REGULAR: rgba(37, 37, 37, .6);--weui-MATERIAL-THICK: rgba(34, 34, 34, .9);--weui-MATERIAL-THIN: rgba(245, 245, 245, .4);--weui-MATERIAL-TOOLBAR: rgba(35, 35, 35, .93);--weui-ORANGE-100: #C87D2F;--weui-ORANGE-120: #A06425;--weui-ORANGE-170: #3B250E;--weui-ORANGE-80: #D39758;--weui-ORANGE-90: #CD8943;--weui-ORANGE-BG-100: #BB6000;--weui-ORANGE-BG-110: #A85600;--weui-ORANGE-BG-130: #824300;--weui-ORANGE-BG-90: #C1701A;--weui-ORANGERED-100: #FF6146;--weui-OVERLAY: rgba(0, 0, 0, .8);--weui-OVERLAY-WHITE: rgba(242, 242, 242, .8);--weui-PURPLE-100: #8183FF;--weui-PURPLE-120: #6768CC;--weui-PURPLE-170: #26274C;--weui-PURPLE-80: #9A9BFF;--weui-PURPLE-90: #8D8FFF;--weui-PURPLE-BG-100: #6768CC;--weui-PURPLE-BG-110: #5C5DB7;--weui-PURPLE-BG-130: #48498F;--weui-PURPLE-BG-90: #7677D1;--weui-RED-100: #FA5151;--weui-RED-120: #C84040;--weui-RED-170: #4B1818;--weui-RED-80: #FB7373;--weui-RED-90: #FA6262;--weui-RED-BG-100: #CF5148;--weui-RED-BG-110: #BA4940;--weui-RED-BG-130: #913832;--weui-RED-BG-90: #D3625A;--weui-SECONDARY-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-SEPARATOR-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-SEPARATOR-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-STATELAYER-HOVERED: rgba(0, 0, 0, .02);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSEDSTRENGTHENED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .2);--weui-YELLOW-100: #CC9C00;--weui-YELLOW-120: #A37C00;--weui-YELLOW-170: #3D2F00;--weui-YELLOW-80: #D6AF33;--weui-YELLOW-90: #D1A519;--weui-YELLOW-BG-100: #BF9100;--weui-YELLOW-BG-110: #AB8200;--weui-YELLOW-BG-130: #866500;--weui-YELLOW-BG-90: #C59C1A;--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-RED: #FA5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #FF6146;--weui-ORANGE: #C87D2F;--weui-YELLOW: #CC9C00;--weui-GREEN: #74A800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3EB575;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND: #07C160;--weui-BLUE: #10AEFF;--weui-INDIGO: #1196FF;--weui-PURPLE: #8183FF;--weui-LINK: #7D90A9;--weui-REDORANGE: #FF6146;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root,body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body{--appmsgExtra-BG: #F7F7F7}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root,body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body{--new-title-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root,body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body{--new-content-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--weui-BG-0: #111111;--weui-BG-1: #1E1E1E;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2C2C2C;--weui-BLUE-100: #10AEFF;--weui-BLUE-120: #0C8BCC;--weui-BLUE-170: #04344D;--weui-BLUE-80: #3FBEFF;--weui-BLUE-90: #28B6FF;--weui-BLUE-BG-100: #48A6E2;--weui-BLUE-BG-110: #4095CB;--weui-BLUE-BG-130: #32749E;--weui-BLUE-BG-90: #5AAFE4;--weui-BRAND-100: #07C160;--weui-BRAND-120: #059A4C;--weui-BRAND-170: #023A1C;--weui-BRAND-80: #38CD7F;--weui-BRAND-90: #20C770;--weui-BRAND-BG-100: #2AAE67;--weui-BRAND-BG-110: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND-BG-130: #1D7A48;--weui-BRAND-BG-90: #3EB575;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-0_5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-GLYPH-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-GLYPH-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-GLYPH-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-3: #FFFFFF;--weui-GREEN-100: #74A800;--weui-GREEN-120: #5C8600;--weui-GREEN-170: #233200;--weui-GREEN-80: #8FB933;--weui-GREEN-90: #82B01A;--weui-GREEN-BG-100: #789833;--weui-GREEN-BG-110: #6B882D;--weui-GREEN-BG-130: #65802B;--weui-GREEN-BG-90: #85A247;--weui-INDIGO-100: #1196FF;--weui-INDIGO-120: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-170: #052D4D;--weui-INDIGO-80: #40ABFF;--weui-INDIGO-90: #28A0FF;--weui-INDIGO-BG-100: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-BG-110: #0B6BB7;--weui-INDIGO-BG-130: #09548F;--weui-INDIGO-BG-90: #2585D1;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-100: #3EB575;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-120: 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#BF9100;--weui-YELLOW-BG-110: #AB8200;--weui-YELLOW-BG-130: #866500;--weui-YELLOW-BG-90: #C59C1A;--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-RED: #FA5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #FF6146;--weui-ORANGE: #C87D2F;--weui-YELLOW: #CC9C00;--weui-GREEN: #74A800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3EB575;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND: #07C160;--weui-BLUE: #10AEFF;--weui-INDIGO: #1196FF;--weui-PURPLE: #8183FF;--weui-LINK: #7D90A9;--weui-REDORANGE: #FF6146;--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--new-title-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--new-content-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, .7)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc)body:not(.pages_skin_pc){background:var(--weui-BG-2)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111111;--weui-BG-1: 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255, 255, .55);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-3: #FFFFFF;--weui-GREEN-100: #74A800;--weui-GREEN-120: #5C8600;--weui-GREEN-170: #233200;--weui-GREEN-80: #8FB933;--weui-GREEN-90: #82B01A;--weui-GREEN-BG-100: #789833;--weui-GREEN-BG-110: #6B882D;--weui-GREEN-BG-130: #65802B;--weui-GREEN-BG-90: #85A247;--weui-INDIGO-100: #1196FF;--weui-INDIGO-120: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-170: #052D4D;--weui-INDIGO-80: #40ABFF;--weui-INDIGO-90: #28A0FF;--weui-INDIGO-BG-100: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-BG-110: #0B6BB7;--weui-INDIGO-BG-130: #09548F;--weui-INDIGO-BG-90: #2585D1;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-100: #3EB575;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-120: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-170: #123522;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-80: #64C390;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-90: #51BC83;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-100: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-110: #2C8153;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-130: #226541;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-90: #31905D;--weui-LINK-100: #7D90A9;--weui-LINK-120: #647387;--weui-LINK-170: #252A32;--weui-LINK-80: #97A6BA;--weui-LINK-90: 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#C84040;--weui-RED-170: #4B1818;--weui-RED-80: #FB7373;--weui-RED-90: #FA6262;--weui-RED-BG-100: #CF5148;--weui-RED-BG-110: #BA4940;--weui-RED-BG-130: #913832;--weui-RED-BG-90: #D3625A;--weui-SECONDARY-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-SEPARATOR-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-SEPARATOR-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-STATELAYER-HOVERED: rgba(0, 0, 0, .02);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSEDSTRENGTHENED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .2);--weui-YELLOW-100: #CC9C00;--weui-YELLOW-120: #A37C00;--weui-YELLOW-170: #3D2F00;--weui-YELLOW-80: #D6AF33;--weui-YELLOW-90: #D1A519;--weui-YELLOW-BG-100: #BF9100;--weui-YELLOW-BG-110: #AB8200;--weui-YELLOW-BG-130: #866500;--weui-YELLOW-BG-90: #C59C1A;--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-RED: #FA5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #FF6146;--weui-ORANGE: #C87D2F;--weui-YELLOW: #CC9C00;--weui-GREEN: #74A800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3EB575;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND: #07C160;--weui-BLUE: #10AEFF;--weui-INDIGO: #1196FF;--weui-PURPLE: #8183FF;--weui-LINK: #7D90A9;--weui-REDORANGE: #FF6146;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111111;--weui-BG-1: #1E1E1E;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2C2C2C;--weui-BLUE-100: #10AEFF;--weui-BLUE-120: #0C8BCC;--weui-BLUE-170: #04344D;--weui-BLUE-80: #3FBEFF;--weui-BLUE-90: #28B6FF;--weui-BLUE-BG-100: #48A6E2;--weui-BLUE-BG-110: #4095CB;--weui-BLUE-BG-130: #32749E;--weui-BLUE-BG-90: #5AAFE4;--weui-BRAND-100: #07C160;--weui-BRAND-120: #059A4C;--weui-BRAND-170: #023A1C;--weui-BRAND-80: #38CD7F;--weui-BRAND-90: #20C770;--weui-BRAND-BG-100: #2AAE67;--weui-BRAND-BG-110: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND-BG-130: #1D7A48;--weui-BRAND-BG-90: #3EB575;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-0_5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-GLYPH-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-GLYPH-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-GLYPH-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-GLYPH-WHITE-3: #FFFFFF;--weui-GREEN-100: #74A800;--weui-GREEN-120: #5C8600;--weui-GREEN-170: #233200;--weui-GREEN-80: #8FB933;--weui-GREEN-90: #82B01A;--weui-GREEN-BG-100: #789833;--weui-GREEN-BG-110: #6B882D;--weui-GREEN-BG-130: #65802B;--weui-GREEN-BG-90: #85A247;--weui-INDIGO-100: #1196FF;--weui-INDIGO-120: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-170: #052D4D;--weui-INDIGO-80: #40ABFF;--weui-INDIGO-90: #28A0FF;--weui-INDIGO-BG-100: #0D78CC;--weui-INDIGO-BG-110: #0B6BB7;--weui-INDIGO-BG-130: #09548F;--weui-INDIGO-BG-90: #2585D1;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-100: #3EB575;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-120: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-170: #123522;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-80: #64C390;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-90: #51BC83;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-100: #31905D;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-110: #2C8153;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-130: #226541;--weui-LIGHTGREEN-BG-90: #31905D;--weui-LINK-100: #7D90A9;--weui-LINK-120: #647387;--weui-LINK-170: #252A32;--weui-LINK-80: #97A6BA;--weui-LINK-90: #899AB1;--weui-LINKFINDER-100: #DEE9FF;--weui-MATERIAL-ATTACHMENTCOLUMN: rgba(32, 32, 32, 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#CF5148;--weui-RED-BG-110: #BA4940;--weui-RED-BG-130: #913832;--weui-RED-BG-90: #D3625A;--weui-SECONDARY-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-SEPARATOR-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-SEPARATOR-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-STATELAYER-HOVERED: rgba(0, 0, 0, .02);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-STATELAYER-PRESSEDSTRENGTHENED: rgba(255, 255, 255, .2);--weui-YELLOW-100: #CC9C00;--weui-YELLOW-120: #A37C00;--weui-YELLOW-170: #3D2F00;--weui-YELLOW-80: #D6AF33;--weui-YELLOW-90: #D1A519;--weui-YELLOW-BG-100: #BF9100;--weui-YELLOW-BG-110: #AB8200;--weui-YELLOW-BG-130: #866500;--weui-YELLOW-BG-90: #C59C1A;--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-RED: #FA5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #FF6146;--weui-ORANGE: #C87D2F;--weui-YELLOW: #CC9C00;--weui-GREEN: #74A800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3EB575;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259C5C;--weui-BRAND: #07C160;--weui-BLUE: #10AEFF;--weui-INDIGO: #1196FF;--weui-PURPLE: #8183FF;--weui-LINK: #7D90A9;--weui-REDORANGE: #FF6146;--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05);--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--new-title-color: 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新华全媒头条丨南方医科大学原党委常委、副校长宁习洲被开除党籍